October 21, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 948 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 921 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Armen Petrosyan earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 118 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 246 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 919 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Armen Petrosyan dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 64 total strikes, 118 vs 58 significant strikes, 48.0% vs 36.0% accuracy. Armen Petrosyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 881 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Armen Petrosyan did not secure a significant ground advantage against AJ Dobson on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +49 |
Armen Petrosyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Armen Petrosyan capitalized on this activity level, while AJ Dobson's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Armen Petrosyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. AJ Dobson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Armen Petrosyan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.