AJ Dobson vs Edmen Shahbazyan

March 22, 2024

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

946
(-28)
AJ Dobson
Winner: Edmen Shahbazyan
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:33

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

AJ Dobson-28
Edmen Shahbazyan+31
1101
(+31)
Edmen Shahbazyan

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -22Edmen Shahbazyan: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Total UFC Fights410
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9611 109
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Edmen Shahbazyan's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Edmen Shahbazyan for the expected result. Had AJ Dobson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -19Edmen Shahbazyan: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9621 038
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -18Edmen Shahbazyan: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:334:33
Win Type ELO9511 229
ELO Change-18+40
💡

What Happened

Edmen Shahbazyan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -67Edmen Shahbazyan: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Significant Strikes Landed1527
Significant Strikes Attempted4643
Total Strikes Landed2031
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8771 123
ELO Change-67+67
💡

What Happened

Edmen Shahbazyan controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 15 significant strikes, 62.8% vs 32.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -46Edmen Shahbazyan: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time1:150:49
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO9181 089
ELO Change-46+46
💡

What Happened

Edmen Shahbazyan landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -14Edmen Shahbazyan: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Days Since Last Fight225309
Activity ELO9701 117
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Edmen Shahbazyan demonstrated standard activity with 309 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this activity level, while AJ Dobson's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -17Edmen Shahbazyan: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9671 063
ELO Change-17+19
💡

What Happened

Edmen Shahbazyan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. AJ Dobson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -19Edmen Shahbazyan: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9621 037
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.