February 11, 2022
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jacob Malkoun's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jacob Malkoun for the expected result. Had AJ Dobson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Jacob Malkoun earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 183 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 961 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Jacob Malkoun dominated the striking exchanges with 183 vs 68 total strikes, 80 vs 52 significant strikes. Jacob Malkoun capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 16 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 9:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 47 |
| Ground ELO | 898 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -102 | +102 |
Jacob Malkoun dominated AJ Dobson on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:17 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 302 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Jacob Malkoun demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jacob Malkoun capitalized on this activity level, while AJ Dobson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Jacob Malkoun extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. AJ Dobson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

