AJ Dobson vs Jacob Malkoun

February 11, 2022

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

962
(-38)
AJ Dobson
Winner: Jacob Malkoun
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

AJ Dobson-38
Jacob Malkoun+39
1043
(+39)
Jacob Malkoun

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -29Jacob Malkoun: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9711 052
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Jacob Malkoun's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jacob Malkoun for the expected result. Had AJ Dobson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -21Jacob Malkoun: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -39Jacob Malkoun: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9611 066
ELO Change-39+39
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What Happened

Jacob Malkoun earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -51Jacob Malkoun: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Significant Strikes Landed5280
Significant Strikes Attempted90128
Total Strikes Landed68183
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO949961
ELO Change-51+51
💡

What Happened

Jacob Malkoun dominated the striking exchanges with 183 vs 68 total strikes, 80 vs 52 significant strikes. Jacob Malkoun capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -102Jacob Malkoun: +102

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Takedowns Landed06
Takedowns Attempted016
Ground Control Time0:279:17
Ground Strikes Landed347
Ground ELO8981 141
ELO Change-102+102
💡

What Happened

Jacob Malkoun dominated AJ Dobson on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:17 of control time, 47 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -19Jacob Malkoun: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Days Since Last FightN/A302
Activity ELO9811 046
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Jacob Malkoun demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jacob Malkoun capitalized on this activity level, while AJ Dobson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -21Jacob Malkoun: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9791 030
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Jacob Malkoun extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. AJ Dobson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Dobson: -21Jacob Malkoun: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ DobsonJacob Malkoun
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.