August 11, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -30 |
AJ Dobson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tafon Nchukwi.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
AJ Dobson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 829 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
AJ Dobson controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 59 total strikes, 67 vs 53 significant strikes. AJ Dobson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:33 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 964 | 839 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
AJ Dobson controlled Tafon Nchukwi on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:33 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 413 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
AJ Dobson demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, AJ Dobson capitalized on this activity level, while Tafon Nchukwi's 413-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
AJ Dobson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tafon Nchukwi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | AJ Dobson | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.