AJ Fletcher vs Bryan Battle

September 22, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

971
(-25)
AJ Fletcher
Winner: Bryan Battle
Submission
Round 2 • 4:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

AJ Fletcher-25
Bryan Battle+28
1125
(+28)
Bryan Battle

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -23Bryan Battle: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Total UFC Fights46
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9651 106
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Bryan Battle's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Bryan Battle for the expected result. Had AJ Fletcher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -17Bryan Battle: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9661 072
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -16Bryan Battle: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:324:32
Win Type ELO9991 291
ELO Change-16+25
💡

What Happened

Bryan Battle earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:32, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. AJ Fletcher was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -25Bryan Battle: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Significant Strikes Landed2545
Significant Strikes Attempted5180
Total Strikes Landed2963
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9551 141
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Bryan Battle controlled the striking exchanges with 63 vs 29 total strikes, 45 vs 25 significant strikes. Bryan Battle capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -65Bryan Battle: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time0:333:30
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9721 111
ELO Change-65+65
💡

What Happened

Bryan Battle controlled AJ Fletcher on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:30 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -15Bryan Battle: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Days Since Last Fight217133
Activity ELO9761 120
ELO Change-15+30
💡

What Happened

Bryan Battle demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Bryan Battle capitalized on this activity level, while AJ Fletcher's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -16Bryan Battle: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9711 086
ELO Change-16+19
💡

What Happened

Bryan Battle extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. AJ Fletcher is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
AJ Fletcher: -17Bryan Battle: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAJ FletcherBryan Battle
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9661 072
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.