August 22, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 945 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 920 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Matt Hobar earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 230 | 120 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 939 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Aaron Phillips controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (230 vs 120 total strikes), significant strike advantage (38 vs 63). However, since Aaron Phillips lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Hobar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 12:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 36 |
| Ground ELO | 800 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Matt Hobar dominated Aaron Phillips on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 12:55 of control time, 36 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 957 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +63 |
Matt Hobar demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Matt Hobar capitalized on this activity level, while Aaron Phillips's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Matt Hobar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aaron Phillips is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Matt Hobar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

