May 23, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Sam Sicilia's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Sicilia for the expected result. Had Aaron Phillips pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Sam Sicilia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Sam Sicilia controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 18 significant strikes, 54.4% vs 45.0% accuracy. Sam Sicilia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:08 | 10:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 891 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Sam Sicilia dominated Aaron Phillips on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 10:09 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 129 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +43 |
Sam Sicilia demonstrated solid activity levels with 129 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Sicilia capitalized on this activity level, while Aaron Phillips's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Sam Sicilia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aaron Phillips is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aaron Phillips | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.