January 15, 2006
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 961 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 940 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Spencer Fisher earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 911 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Spencer Fisher controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 9 significant strikes. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:29 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 891 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Spencer Fisher did not secure a significant ground advantage against Aaron Riley on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 348 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +46 |
Spencer Fisher demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Aaron Riley's 1348-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Spencer Fisher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aaron Riley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aaron Riley | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.