August 28, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 065 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -30 |
Aaron Simpson overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ed Herman.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:17 | 0:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -45 |
Aaron Simpson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 284 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -126 |
Aaron Simpson controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 14 total strikes, 25 vs 7 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 21.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Aaron Simpson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 168 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Aaron Simpson landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 150 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 063 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -24 |
Aaron Simpson demonstrated solid activity levels with 150 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aaron Simpson capitalized on this activity level, while Ed Herman's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Aaron Simpson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ed Herman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.