October 7, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -17 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 223 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Aaron Simpson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 140 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 291 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Aaron Simpson dominated the striking exchanges with 63 vs 17 total strikes, 58 vs 14 significant strikes, 41.4% vs 13.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Aaron Simpson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 302 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Aaron Simpson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 566 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -13 |
Aaron Simpson demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aaron Simpson capitalized on this activity level, while Eric Schafer's 566-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Aaron Simpson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eric Schafer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aaron Simpson | Eric Schafer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.