Aaron Simpson vs Mario Miranda

March 25, 2011

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1112
(+33)
Aaron Simpson
Winner: Aaron Simpson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aaron Simpson+33
Mario Miranda-31
991
(-31)
Mario Miranda

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +30Mario Miranda: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Total UFC Fights64
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 057975
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aaron Simpson for the expected result. Had Mario Miranda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +19Mario Miranda: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 037968
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +35Mario Miranda: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1571 030
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Aaron Simpson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +35Mario Miranda: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Significant Strikes Landed5914
Significant Strikes Attempted7515
Total Strikes Landed12260
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2171 035
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson dominated the striking exchanges with 122 vs 60 total strikes, 59 vs 14 significant strikes, 78.7% vs 93.3% accuracy. Aaron Simpson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +72Mario Miranda: -72

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Takedowns Landed100
Takedowns Attempted262
Ground Control Time12:411:09
Ground Strikes Landed200
Ground ELO1 233951
ELO Change+72-72
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What Happened

Aaron Simpson dominated Mario Miranda on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 12:41 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +39Mario Miranda: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Days Since Last Fight126211
Activity ELO1 1081 027
ELO Change+39-20
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aaron Simpson capitalized on this activity level, while Mario Miranda's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +20Mario Miranda: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 052973
ELO Change+20-19
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mario Miranda is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +19Mario Miranda: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonMario Miranda
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 037968
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.