Aaron Simpson vs Tim McKenzie

March 31, 2009

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1053
(+53)
Aaron Simpson
Winner: Aaron Simpson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:40

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aaron Simpson+53
Tim McKenzie-46
954
(-46)
Tim McKenzie

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +21Tim McKenzie: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +21Tim McKenzie: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +101Tim McKenzie: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:401:40
Win Type ELO1 101958
ELO Change+101-42
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What Happened

Aaron Simpson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +158Tim McKenzie: -158

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Significant Strikes Landed161
Significant Strikes Attempted274
Total Strikes Landed272
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 158842
ELO Change+158-158
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What Happened

Aaron Simpson controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 2 total strikes, 16 vs 1 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Aaron Simpson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +61Tim McKenzie: -61

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time1:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed110
Ground ELO1 061939
ELO Change+61-61
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +21Tim McKenzie: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Aaron Simpson capitalized on this activity level, while Tim McKenzie's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +23Tim McKenzie: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Aaron Simpson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim McKenzie is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Simpson: +21Tim McKenzie: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron SimpsonTim McKenzie
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.