Aaron Wilkinson vs Cody McKenzie

December 3, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

967
(-33)
Aaron Wilkinson
Winner: Cody McKenzie
Submission
Round 1 • 2:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aaron Wilkinson-33
Cody McKenzie+37
1037
(+37)
Cody McKenzie

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -21Cody McKenzie: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -21Cody McKenzie: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -42Cody McKenzie: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:032:03
Win Type ELO9581 074
ELO Change-42+74
💡

What Happened

Cody McKenzie earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -59Cody McKenzie: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Significant Strikes Landed00
Significant Strikes Attempted12
Total Strikes Landed08
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9411 059
ELO Change-59+59
💡

What Happened

Cody McKenzie slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Cody McKenzie capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -55Cody McKenzie: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time1:040:52
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9451 055
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Cody McKenzie controlled Aaron Wilkinson on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:52 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -21Cody McKenzie: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Cody McKenzie demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Cody McKenzie capitalized on this activity level, while Aaron Wilkinson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -21Cody McKenzie: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Cody McKenzie started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aaron Wilkinson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aaron Wilkinson: -21Cody McKenzie: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAaron WilkinsonCody McKenzie
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.