March 1, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +32 |
Loik Radzhabov's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Loik Radzhabov for the expected result. Had Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +84 |
Loik Radzhabov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Loik Radzhabov controlled the striking exchanges with 43.3% vs 55.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Loik Radzhabov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:44 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 933 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Loik Radzhabov controlled Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady on the ground with 4 vs 3 takedowns, 1:27 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Loik Radzhabov demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Loik Radzhabov capitalized on this activity level, while Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Loik Radzhabov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady | Loik Radzhabov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

