January 11, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +44 |
Cesar Almeida overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Abdul Razak Alhassan.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 975 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:16 | 4:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 171 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +117 |
Cesar Almeida earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 058 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Cesar Almeida controlled the striking exchanges with 69.0% vs 51.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cesar Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:31 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 827 | 963 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Cesar Almeida did not secure a significant ground advantage against Abdul Razak Alhassan on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Cesar Almeida demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cesar Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Abdul Razak Alhassan's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Cesar Almeida extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Abdul Razak Alhassan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 975 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.