January 13, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan's 10-fight experience advantage (11 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Abdul Razak Alhassan for the expected result. Had Claudio Ribeiro pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:28 | 0:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 275 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 212 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Claudio Ribeiro lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Abdul Razak Alhassan's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:08 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 878 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan did not secure a significant ground advantage against Claudio Ribeiro on the ground with 3:08 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 100 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Abdul Razak Alhassan capitalized on this activity level, while Claudio Ribeiro's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Claudio Ribeiro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Claudio Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.