Abel Trujillo vs Jamie Varner

January 31, 2014

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1123
(+54)
Abel Trujillo
Winner: Abel Trujillo
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Abel Trujillo+54
Jamie Varner-36
1054
(-36)
Jamie Varner

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +36Jamie Varner: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Total UFC Fights57
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 1071 045
ELO Change+36-32
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What Happened

Abel Trujillo overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jamie Varner.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +21Jamie Varner: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 043995
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +98Jamie Varner: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:322:32
Win Type ELO1 2181 120
ELO Change+98-48
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What Happened

Abel Trujillo gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +96Jamie Varner: -96

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Significant Strikes Landed1836
Significant Strikes Attempted7996
Total Strikes Landed2751
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2531 109
ELO Change+96-96
💡

What Happened

Jamie Varner controlled the striking through superior volume (51 vs 27 total strikes), significant strike advantage (36 vs 18), superior accuracy (37.5% vs 22.8%). However, since Jamie Varner lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Abel Trujillo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +24Jamie Varner: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:092:30
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0991 106
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Abel Trujillo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jamie Varner on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +111Jamie Varner: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Days Since Last Fight49155
Activity ELO1 1661 052
ELO Change+111-22
💡

What Happened

Abel Trujillo demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Abel Trujillo capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Varner's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +26Jamie Varner: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0531 011
ELO Change+26-21
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What Happened

Abel Trujillo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Varner is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +21Jamie Varner: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloJamie Varner
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 043994
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.