May 28, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Abel Trujillo's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Abel Trujillo for the expected result. Had Jordan Rinaldi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 259 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Abel Trujillo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 252 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Abel Trujillo controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 18 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 31.0% accuracy. Abel Trujillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:04 | 3:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Abel Trujillo controlled Jordan Rinaldi on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 4:04 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 251 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -9 |
Abel Trujillo demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Abel Trujillo capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Rinaldi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 108 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -16 |
Abel Trujillo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Rinaldi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abel Trujillo | Jordan Rinaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

