Abel Trujillo vs Tony Sims

January 1, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1156
(+27)
Abel Trujillo
Winner: Abel Trujillo
Submission
Round 1 • 3:18

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Abel Trujillo+27
Tony Sims-18
995
(-18)
Tony Sims

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +17Tony Sims: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Total UFC Fights83
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 185974
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Abel Trujillo's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Abel Trujillo for the expected result. Had Tony Sims pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +18Tony Sims: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 069982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +42Tony Sims: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:183:18
Win Type ELO1 2421 029
ELO Change+42-25
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What Happened

Abel Trujillo earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +11Tony Sims: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Significant Strikes Landed45
Significant Strikes Attempted1112
Total Strikes Landed45
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2381 045
ELO Change+11-11
💡

What Happened

The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Tony Sims lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Abel Trujillo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +32Tony Sims: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time0:170:12
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 125970
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +56Tony Sims: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Days Since Last Fight56133
Activity ELO1 234990
ELO Change+56-11
💡

What Happened

Abel Trujillo demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Abel Trujillo capitalized on this activity level, while Tony Sims's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +21Tony Sims: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 087985
ELO Change+21-17
💡

What Happened

Abel Trujillo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tony Sims is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Abel Trujillo: +18Tony Sims: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAbel TrujilloTony Sims
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 069982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.