March 26, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 966 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Marc-Andre Barriault's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marc-Andre Barriault for the expected result. Had Abu Azaitar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 995 | 969 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:56 | 4:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 995 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +116 |
Marc-Andre Barriault gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 108 | 141 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 219 | 275 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 142 | 190 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -125 | +125 |
Marc-Andre Barriault controlled the striking exchanges with 190 vs 142 total strikes, 141 vs 108 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marc-Andre Barriault capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 6:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 43 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 947 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Marc-Andre Barriault controlled Abu Azaitar on the ground with 6:00 of control time, 43 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 980 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 974 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Marc-Andre Barriault demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Marc-Andre Barriault capitalized on this activity level, while Abu Azaitar's 980-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 974 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Marc-Andre Barriault started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Abu Azaitar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 995 | 969 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.