Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs David Zawada

November 8, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Winner: David Zawada
Submission
Round 1 • 2:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Abubakar Nurmagomedov-32
David Zawada+36
990
(+36)
David Zawada

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -36David Zawada: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO964990
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

David Zawada's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Zawada for the expected result. Had Abubakar Nurmagomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -23David Zawada: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO977988
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -45David Zawada: +79

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:502:50
Win Type ELO9551 054
ELO Change-45+79
💡

What Happened

David Zawada earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -28David Zawada: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Significant Strikes Landed42
Significant Strikes Attempted911
Total Strikes Landed2225
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO972950
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Abubakar Nurmagomedov controlled the striking through superior accuracy (44.4% vs 18.2%). However, since Abubakar Nurmagomedov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. David Zawada's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -53David Zawada: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time1:500:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO947964
ELO Change-53+53
💡

What Happened

David Zawada edged out Abubakar Nurmagomedov on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -23David Zawada: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Days Since Last FightN/A350
Activity ELO977994
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

David Zawada demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, David Zawada capitalized on this activity level, while Abubakar Nurmagomedov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -23David Zawada: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO977992
ELO Change-23+25
💡

What Happened

David Zawada started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Abubakar Nurmagomedov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -23David Zawada: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO977988
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.