Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

June 2, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1010
(-12)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Winner: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Abubakar Nurmagomedov-12
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos+13
1199
(+13)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -18Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Total UFC Fights413
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 0091 204
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos for the expected result. Had Abubakar Nurmagomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -16Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 121
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -3Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +3

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0341 336
ELO Change-3+3
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -15Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Significant Strikes Landed2942
Significant Strikes Attempted54113
Total Strikes Landed4850
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0031 193
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos edged the striking exchanges with 42 vs 29 significant strikes, 37.2% vs 53.7% accuracy. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -10Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted82
Ground Control Time6:160:15
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0111 228
ELO Change-10+10
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What Happened

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Abubakar Nurmagomedov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:15 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -11Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Days Since Last Fight224581
Activity ELO1 0031 196
ELO Change-11+10
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What Happened

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos demonstrated extended layoff with 581 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Abubakar Nurmagomedov's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -12Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0121 194
ELO Change-12+15
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What Happened

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Abubakar Nurmagomedov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Abubakar Nurmagomedov: -16Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAbubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 121
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.