October 21, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 027 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 037 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 59.7% vs 38.4% accuracy. Abubakar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:55 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 887 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov edged out Gadzhi Omargadzhiev on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:55 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 574 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov demonstrated extended layoff with 574 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Abubakar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Gadzhi Omargadzhiev's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gadzhi Omargadzhiev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | Gadzhi Omargadzhiev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.