Abus Magomedov vs Caio Borralho

November 3, 2023

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1014
(-23)
Abus Magomedov
Winner: Caio Borralho
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Abus Magomedov-23
Caio Borralho+26
1178
(+26)
Caio Borralho

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -23Caio Borralho: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Total UFC Fights35
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0281 175
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Caio Borralho's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Caio Borralho for the expected result. Had Abus Magomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -16Caio Borralho: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9891 100
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -27Caio Borralho: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0721 255
ELO Change-27+27
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What Happened

Caio Borralho earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -53Caio Borralho: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Significant Strikes Landed3851
Significant Strikes Attempted107103
Total Strikes Landed3970
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0201 190
ELO Change-53+53
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 39 total strikes, 51 vs 38 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 35.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Caio Borralho capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -25Caio Borralho: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:002:17
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 0131 283
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Caio Borralho landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -12Caio Borralho: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Days Since Last Fight127190
Activity ELO1 0041 183
ELO Change-12+15
💡

What Happened

Caio Borralho demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Caio Borralho capitalized on this activity level, while Abus Magomedov's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -15Caio Borralho: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO9961 135
ELO Change-15+29
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What Happened

Caio Borralho continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Abus Magomedov's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Abus Magomedov: -16Caio Borralho: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAbus MagomedovCaio Borralho
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9891 100
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.