June 30, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Sean Strickland's 17-fight experience advantage (19 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Strickland for the expected result. Had Abus Magomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +27 |
Sean Strickland gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 81 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 188 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Sean Strickland controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 47 total strikes, 81 vs 47 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 038 | 1 341 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Sean Strickland landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 016 | 1 418 |
| ELO Change | -4 | +7 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Abus Magomedov's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +13 |
Sean Strickland extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Abus Magomedov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.