May 17, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 074 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -26 |
Abus Magomedov overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Warlley Alves.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 011 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Abus Magomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Abus Magomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 17 total strikes, 22 vs 16 significant strikes. Abus Magomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:56 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -131 |
Abus Magomedov dominated Warlley Alves on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 11:56 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Abus Magomedov demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Abus Magomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Warlley Alves's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Abus Magomedov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Warlley Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Abus Magomedov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 011 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.