March 2, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jordan Johnson receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 133 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 176 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 005 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Jordan Johnson dominated the striking exchanges with 176 vs 70 total strikes, 55.7% vs 43.6% accuracy. Jordan Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 7:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 007 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jordan Johnson edged out Adam Milstead on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:13 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 240 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Jordan Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 240 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jordan Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Adam Milstead's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Jordan Johnson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Adam Milstead is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Jordan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.