December 14, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +43 |
Mike Rodriguez overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Adam Milstead.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:59 | 2:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +122 |
Mike Rodriguez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 845 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -160 | +160 |
Mike Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 44 vs 22 total strikes, 35 vs 10 significant strikes, 83.3% vs 47.6% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Mike Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 922 | 950 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Mike Rodriguez landed 2 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Mike Rodriguez demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mike Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Adam Milstead's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Mike Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Adam Milstead is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adam Milstead | Mike Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

