October 18, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -36 |
Adlan Amagov overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran TJ Waldburger.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:00 | 3:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +132 | -59 |
Adlan Amagov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 10 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 202 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -141 |
Adlan Amagov controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 4 significant strikes, 57.7% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Adlan Amagov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 168 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Adlan Amagov landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -25 |
Adlan Amagov demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Adlan Amagov capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Waldburger's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Adlan Amagov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Waldburger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adlan Amagov | TJ Waldburger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.