July 23, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 247 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -38 |
Adrian Yanez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 153 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 275 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Randy Costa controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (69 vs 64), superior accuracy (45.1% vs 34.8%). However, since Randy Costa lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Adrian Yanez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Adrian Yanez landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Adrian Yanez demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Adrian Yanez capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Costa's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Adrian Yanez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Costa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.