June 17, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 147 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:49 | 3:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 309 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -26 |
Adrian Yanez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 341 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Adrian Yanez controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 20 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 40.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Adrian Yanez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Adrian Yanez landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Adrian Yanez demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Adrian Yanez capitalized on this activity level, while Tony Kelley's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -17 |
Adrian Yanez continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Tony Kelley's now at 0.
| Metric | Adrian Yanez | Tony Kelley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.