July 5, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 092 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Adriano Martins's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Adriano Martins for the expected result. Had Juan Manuel Puig pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:21 | 2:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 143 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -34 |
Adriano Martins earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 098 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -79 |
Adriano Martins controlled the striking exchanges with 37.5% vs 25.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Adriano Martins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 163 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Adriano Martins demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Adriano Martins capitalized on this activity level, while Juan Manuel Puig's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Adriano Martins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juan Manuel Puig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Juan Manuel Puig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

