September 8, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +47 |
Kajan Johnson overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Adriano Martins.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +126 |
Kajan Johnson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -153 | +153 |
Kajan Johnson controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 16 significant strikes, 41.3% vs 51.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Kajan Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 149 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 714 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +22 |
Kajan Johnson demonstrated extended layoff with 714 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Kajan Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Adriano Martins's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +31 |
Kajan Johnson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Adriano Martins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.