October 7, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 124 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 219 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Leonardo Santos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 172 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Adriano Martins controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (34 vs 23). However, since Adriano Martins lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Leonardo Santos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 226 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 371 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Leonardo Santos demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Leonardo Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Adriano Martins's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Leonardo Santos extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Adriano Martins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Leonardo Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.