February 21, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 124 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 153 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Adriano Martins receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Rustam Khabilov controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (18 vs 12). However, since Rustam Khabilov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Adriano Martins's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:58 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Adriano Martins edged out Rustam Khabilov on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:58 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 261 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Adriano Martins demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Adriano Martins capitalized on this activity level, while Rustam Khabilov's 261-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Adriano Martins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rustam Khabilov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adriano Martins | Rustam Khabilov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.