October 15, 1998
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 9:00 | 9:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +90 |
Tulio Palhares earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 9:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 921 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Tulio Palhares controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 21 total strikes, 31 vs 11 significant strikes, 70.5% vs 30.6% accuracy. Tulio Palhares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Tulio Palhares controlled Adriano Santos on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Tulio Palhares demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tulio Palhares capitalized on this activity level, while Adriano Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tulio Palhares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Adriano Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Adriano Santos | Tulio Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.