September 28, 2024
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Ailin Perez's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ailin Perez for the expected result. Had Daria Zhelezniakova pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -37 |
Ailin Perez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Ailin Perez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 58.3% vs 41.7% accuracy. Ailin Perez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 196 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Ailin Perez dominated Daria Zhelezniakova on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Ailin Perez demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ailin Perez capitalized on this activity level, while Daria Zhelezniakova's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 078 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Ailin Perez extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daria Zhelezniakova is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ailin Perez | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.