Akbarh Arreola vs Francisco Trinaldo

March 20, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1004
(-33)
Akbarh Arreola
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Akbarh Arreola-33
Francisco Trinaldo+34
1084
(+34)
Francisco Trinaldo

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -33Francisco Trinaldo: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Total UFC Fights39
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO1 0001 045
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Akbarh Arreola pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -19Francisco Trinaldo: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 055
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -40Francisco Trinaldo: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0421 141
ELO Change-40+40
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -24Francisco Trinaldo: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Significant Strikes Landed3439
Significant Strikes Attempted74115
Total Strikes Landed8291
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0431 089
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 39 vs 34 significant strikes, 33.9% vs 45.9% accuracy. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -97Francisco Trinaldo: +97

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:009:17
Ground Strikes Landed517
Ground ELO9771 075
ELO Change-97+97
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo controlled Akbarh Arreola on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:17 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -16Francisco Trinaldo: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Days Since Last Fight119190
Activity ELO1 0181 140
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Akbarh Arreola's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -18Francisco Trinaldo: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9871 070
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Akbarh Arreola is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Akbarh Arreola: -19Francisco Trinaldo: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAkbarh ArreolaFrancisco Trinaldo
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.