November 13, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 020 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Jake Matthews gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Jake Matthews dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 33 total strikes, 62 vs 21 significant strikes, 63.3% vs 51.2% accuracy. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:59 | 5:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 51 |
| Ground ELO | 955 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Jake Matthews controlled Akbarh Arreola on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:39 of control time, 51 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Akbarh Arreola's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jake Matthews started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Akbarh Arreola is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Akbarh Arreola | Jake Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.