October 17, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 067 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Dan Hardy receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 186 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Dan Hardy slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 30.6% vs 52.3% accuracy. Dan Hardy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Dan Hardy did not secure a significant ground advantage against Akihiro Gono on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Dan Hardy demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Dan Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Akihiro Gono's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Dan Hardy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Akihiro Gono is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Dan Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

