January 30, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 983 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Jon Fitch's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Fitch for the expected result. Had Akihiro Gono pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Jon Fitch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 174 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 352 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jon Fitch dominated the striking exchanges with 174 vs 18 total strikes, 40 vs 7 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 35.0% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:01 | 10:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 083 | 1 443 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jon Fitch dominated Akihiro Gono on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:08 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +13 |
Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Akihiro Gono's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +10 |
Jon Fitch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Akihiro Gono is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Akihiro Gono | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.