December 14, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 274 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -34 |
Al Iaquinta overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Lee.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 130 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 429 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Al Iaquinta earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 102 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 228 | 296 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 355 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Al Iaquinta edged the striking exchanges with 111 vs 102 significant strikes, 48.7% vs 34.5% accuracy. Al Iaquinta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 5:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 293 | 1 478 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Al Iaquinta did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kevin Lee on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 358 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Al Iaquinta demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Al Iaquinta capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Lee's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 194 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Al Iaquinta started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 130 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.