April 6, 2018
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 235 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +54 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Khabib Nurmagomedov captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 382 | 1 512 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 134 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 141 | 304 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 172 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 335 | 1 529 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 172 vs 43 total strikes, 134 vs 41 significant strikes, 44.1% vs 29.1% accuracy. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 10:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 34 |
| Ground ELO | 1 259 | 1 606 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Al Iaquinta on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:33 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 330 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +65 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Al Iaquinta's 350-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 10 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 168 | 1 398 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +63 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov extended his incredible 10-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Al Iaquinta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.