August 30, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 003 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Al Iaquinta earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 177 | 155 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 914 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Al Iaquinta controlled the striking exchanges with 86 vs 47 total strikes, 80 vs 45 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 29.0% accuracy. Al Iaquinta capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:53 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Al Iaquinta controlled Ryan Couture on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 0:53 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 456 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -22 |
Al Iaquinta demonstrated extended layoff with 456 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Al Iaquinta capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Couture's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Al Iaquinta started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Couture is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Al Iaquinta | Ryan Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.