October 9, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 972 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +66 |
Tom Aspinall earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 940 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Tom Aspinall edged the striking exchanges with 16 vs 3 significant strikes, 64.0% vs 25.0% accuracy. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 948 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Tom Aspinall controlled Alan Baudot on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:30 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +59 |
Tom Aspinall demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Alan Baudot's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Tom Aspinall extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alan Baudot is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Baudot | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.