Alan Belcher vs Denis Kang

January 16, 2009

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1063
(+29)
Alan Belcher
Winner: Alan Belcher
Submission
Round 2 • 4:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alan Belcher+29
Denis Kang-25
975
(-25)
Denis Kang

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +31Denis Kang: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Total UFC Fights81
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 039969
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Belcher for the expected result. Had Denis Kang pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +20Denis Kang: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 043980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +49Denis Kang: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:364:36
Win Type ELO1 134968
ELO Change+49-32
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What Happened

Alan Belcher earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:36, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Denis Kang was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +24Denis Kang: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Significant Strikes Landed926
Significant Strikes Attempted2855
Total Strikes Landed954
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO979976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Denis Kang controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (54 vs 9 total strikes), significant strike advantage (26 vs 9), superior accuracy (47.3% vs 32.1%). However, since Denis Kang lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alan Belcher's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +43Denis Kang: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted05
Ground Control Time0:205:43
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 034957
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher edged out Denis Kang on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +25Denis Kang: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Days Since Last Fight123N/A
Activity ELO1 173987
ELO Change+25-13
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Denis Kang's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +23Denis Kang: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 059981
ELO Change+23-19
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What Happened

Alan Belcher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Denis Kang is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +20Denis Kang: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherDenis Kang
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 043980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.