October 19, 2007
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 131 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alan Belcher gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 89 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alan Belcher controlled the striking exchanges with 57 vs 40 significant strikes, 57.0% vs 44.9% accuracy. Alan Belcher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 982 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Alan Belcher did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kalib Starnes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 147 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Alan Belcher demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Kalib Starnes's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 036 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Alan Belcher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kalib Starnes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kalib Starnes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.