April 6, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:42 | 4:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +55 |
Kendall Grove earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Alan Belcher was submitted.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 008 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Kendall Grove dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 10 total strikes, 41 vs 8 significant strikes. Kendall Grove capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:12 | 4:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 898 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Kendall Grove dominated Alan Belcher on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:44 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 115 | 179 |
| Activity ELO | 1 017 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Kendall Grove demonstrated solid activity levels with 179 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kendall Grove capitalized on this activity level, while Alan Belcher's 115-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Kendall Grove extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alan Belcher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.