April 26, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Michael Bisping's 4-fight experience advantage (19 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Alan Belcher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:31 | 4:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 339 | 1 396 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Michael Bisping earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 93 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 225 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 206 | 1 365 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Michael Bisping dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 29 total strikes, 93 vs 29 significant strikes, 41.3% vs 19.3% accuracy. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 170 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 225 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Alan Belcher's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Michael Bisping started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alan Belcher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

