May 7, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:25 | 3:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 305 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -38 |
Alan Belcher earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Patrick Cote was submitted.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Alan Belcher slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 27 vs 22 significant strikes. Alan Belcher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:27 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 124 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Alan Belcher controlled Patrick Cote on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:27 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 560 |
| Activity ELO | 1 220 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -16 |
Alan Belcher demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cote's 560-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Alan Belcher extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cote is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

